This study found that the temperature conditions will support a semi-permanent to permanent population of the ECB in large parts of southern Sweden by the end of the 21st century, given RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5.

Student thesis series Ines

The European Corn Borer (ECB) has the potential to markedly reduce the yield from corn plants and in turn affect the economy of farmers. The human world population is increasing and there is consequently an increased number of mouths to feed on a limited area, the Earth, and this makes this an important topic to study. It is thus important to find out whether the ECB likely will be an important pest for farmers in Sweden throughout the 21st century, and, further on, whether the temperature requirements for a permanent population will be met. This was studied using a phenological ECB model driven with climate model data based on RCP scenarios 2.6, 4.5 and 8.5, together with gridded observational data. This study found that the temperature conditions will support a semi-permanent to permanent population of the ECB in large parts of southern Sweden by the end of the 21st century, given RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5.

This study found that the temperature conditions will support a semi-permanent to permanent population of the ECB in large parts of southern Sweden by the end of the 21st century, given RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5.

The European corn borer in Sweden : a future perspective based on a phenological model approach