Paper

Combined forecast process: Combining scenario analysis with the technological substitution model

Published Mar 1, 2007 · Ming-Yeu Wang, Wei Lan

Technological Forecasting and Social Change

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Abstract

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Study Snapshot

Combining scenario analysis with the technological substitution model improves forecasts of new generation technological developments, offering both uncertain and quantifiable parameters.

PopulationOlder adults (50-71 years)

Sample size24

MethodsObservational

OutcomesBody Mass Index projections

ResultsSocial networks mitigate obesity in older groups.

Combined forecast process: Combining scenario analysis with the technological substitution model

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