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These studies suggest that factors such as tumor location, Immunoscore, post-surgery ctDNA, lymph node ratio, molecular characteristics, and gene expression profiling significantly influence colon cancer prognosis.
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Recent studies have highlighted the significance of tumor location in colon cancer prognosis. Left-sided colon cancer (LCC) is associated with a better overall survival (OS) compared to right-sided colon cancer (RCC). A meta-analysis involving over 1.4 million patients found that LCC had a significantly reduced risk of death (HR, 0.82; 95% CI, 0.79-0.84) independent of other factors such as stage, race, and adjuvant chemotherapy. Another study confirmed that RCC patients had a worse prognosis than LCC patients, with a hazard ratio of 1.14 for overall survival.
The Immunoscore, which assesses tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes, has emerged as a valuable prognostic tool in localized colon cancer. A meta-analysis of 5,718 patients demonstrated that a low Immunoscore was significantly associated with poorer disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) (HR 1.75 and HR 1.87, respectively). This suggests that integrating Immunoscore with traditional TNM staging could enhance the accuracy of prognosis and guide treatment decisions.
Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) has been identified as a significant prognostic marker in stage III colon cancer. In a study involving 1,345 patients, ctDNA positivity post-surgery was associated with a lower 3-year DFS rate (66.39% vs. 76.71% for ctDNA-negative patients) and was confirmed as an independent prognostic marker for both DFS and OS. This highlights the potential of ctDNA in predicting recurrence and guiding adjuvant therapy.
Combining clinical characteristics with molecular features can improve prognostic predictions. A study developed models incorporating factors such as lymph node ratio (LNR), mRNA, lncRNA, miRNA, and DNA methylation, which provided more accurate survival predictions for 1, 3, and 5 years post-surgery. Another study validated prediction models for colon cancer with lung metastases, identifying six key variables (tumor grade, AJCC T stage, AJCC N stage, chemotherapy, CEA, liver metastasis) that significantly influenced OS and cancer-specific survival (CSS).
Molecular markers such as Ki-67, p53, and DNA mismatch repair (MMR) status have been studied for their prognostic significance. High Ki-67 expression and normal p53 were associated with improved OS and DFS in patients with Dukes' B2 and C colon cancer. Additionally, MSI-high status and SMAD4 expression were identified as independent prognostic factors, with MSI-high status linked to better RFS and OS, and SMAD4 loss associated with worse outcomes.
Gene expression profiling has shown promise in predicting prognosis for stage II and III colon cancer. Predictors based on tumor and non-neoplastic mucosa gene expression achieved accuracies of 78% and 83%, respectively, suggesting that gene expression measures can be effective in prognosis prediction.
The prognosis of colon cancer is influenced by a variety of factors, including tumor location, immune response, circulating tumor DNA, and molecular characteristics. Integrating these diverse prognostic markers can enhance the accuracy of survival predictions and guide personalized treatment strategies. As research continues to evolve, these insights will be crucial in improving outcomes for colon cancer patients.
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