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These studies suggest that diabetes is a growing global health issue, with increasing prevalence and incidence rates, particularly among older adults and in low- and middle-income countries.
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Diabetes is a significant and growing global health issue. In 2013, an estimated 382 million people worldwide had diabetes, and this number is projected to rise to 592 million by 2035. The prevalence of diabetes is particularly high in low- and middle-income countries, which are expected to experience the greatest increase in cases over the next two decades. In Ontario, Canada, the prevalence of diabetes increased from 3.2% in 1993 to 4.5% in 1998, highlighting a similar upward trend.
The incidence of Type 1 diabetes is also on the rise globally. A comprehensive analysis of data from 37 studies across 27 countries found that the incidence of Type 1 diabetes increased by an average of 3.0% per year between 1960 and 1996. This increase was observed in both high-incidence populations (greater than 14.6 per 100,000 per year) and low-incidence populations, with a steeper relative increase in the latter. A systematic review and meta-analysis further confirmed that the global incidence of Type 1 diabetes is approximately 15 per 100,000 people, with a prevalence of 9.5%.
Diabetes significantly contributes to global mortality. In 2010, diabetes was estimated to be responsible for 3.96 million deaths among individuals aged 20-79 years, accounting for 6.8% of global mortality. The impact of diabetes on mortality is particularly pronounced in older adults and varies by region, with the highest mortality rates observed in North America.
The prevalence of diabetes among older adults (aged 65-99 years) is notably high. In 2019, it was estimated that 19.3% of people in this age group had diabetes, amounting to 135.6 million individuals globally. This number is projected to increase to 195.2 million by 2030 and 276.2 million by 2045, with the highest prevalence observed in the North America and Caribbean region.
Geographic and demographic variations in diabetes prevalence and incidence are significant. For instance, the prevalence of diabetes in the United States is not precisely known, but various studies provide a body of facts to estimate the total volume of diabetes in the country. Additionally, the National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS) provides detailed data on the prevalence, incidence, and distribution of diabetes, including associated medical conditions and therapies.
Diabetes is a growing global health burden with increasing prevalence and incidence rates, particularly in low- and middle-income countries. The disease significantly contributes to global mortality, especially among older adults. Accurate and up-to-date statistics are essential for effective resource allocation and monitoring of trends to combat this escalating health issue.
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