When we gaze up at the night sky, we’re looking at light that has traveled across vast distances of space and time. This raises a fascinating question that many astronomy and astrophysics experts have pondered: Are we actually looking at stars that no longer exist? Three specialists in stellar astronomy provide evidence-based perspectives on this cosmic time delay and what it means for our view of the universe. Their answers illuminate not just the stars themselves, but our place in the cosmic timeline.
Michael Boyle has answered Extremely Unlikely
An expert from Cornell University in Astrophysics, Astronomy, Mathematics
For the most part, the stars you see with the naked eye (that is, without a telescope) are still alive. These stars are usually no more than about 10,000 light years away, so the light we see left them about 10,000 years ago.
Most stars will “live” for somewhere in the neighborhood of 1 billion years, so the odds are low that any particular star died during the past 10,000 years. And since you can only see around 6,000 stars with the naked eye, that’s still not enough to make it likely that any of the stars you can see has died by the time you see it. That’s not to say it can’t happen; just that it’s not likely.
Of course, if “the stars we see in the sky” includes the stars we see with telescopes, we can see stars that are many billions of light years away, so chances are actually pretty good that those stars have died since then. On the other hand, supernovae have been seen by the naked eye throughout human history. These are the death throes of stars, and are extremely bright.
So not only is the light coming from the star just as it dies, but it also might be substantially farther away than most stars. Put these together, and it means the star is likely very dead by the time humans see the light. (The theory of relativity adds some fuzziness to these ideas, because we’re talking about comparing times of two things that are very widely separated. But there is a notion of “absolute future” that we can use to make these ideas very precise. And the basic conclusions don’t change.)
Chris Tinney has answered Extremely Unlikely
An expert from UNSW Science in Astronomy, Astrophysics, Astrobiology, Physics
While it is true that the light we see from distant stars is telling us about their state in the past (i.e. light from a star 3.3 light years away is telling us the star was emitting light 3.3 years ago), there are robust models for how stars work that tell us the majority of stars have lifetimes that massively exceed the time it has taken for light from those stars to get to us.
Our galaxy is (roughly) 70,000 or so light years across. So the light we see from stars is going to be (to first order) a maximum of 70,000 years old. 70,000 years, however, is *massively* shorter than the >4,000,000 lifetimes of the most common stars we see (G and K stars). So there is no reason to expect them to have all turned off since they emitted the light we are seeing now.
Nathan Bourne has answered Extremely Unlikely
An expert from Edinburgh University in Astronomy, Astrophysics
Most of the stars visible to the naked eye are within at most a few hundred light years of Earth. The number of light years is equal to the number of years that the starlight has taken to reach us through the intervening space, so you see the stars as they were that long ago. How many of these stars are likely to have died during the last few hundred years, that we haven’t noticed yet because the light is still reaching us? Most stars have lifetimes of over a billion years. More massive stars burn more vigorously and burn out faster, but even the most massive live for a few million to 10 million years, although they are very rare. The majority of stars are dwarfs like the Sun, with lifetimes of anything up to 10 or 20 billion years. The chances of any one dying within a given 1000 year window (say) are very small, so only a small number will do so. Even if you use a large telescope to look deeply enough to see the far edges of the Galaxy, you are only looking at stars around 6000 light years away. The Andromeda galaxy is the most distant object visible to the naked eye, and the light from there has traveled through space for around 200,000 years to reach us. While we cannot see individual stars in that galaxy without a powerful telescope, a very small fraction of the stars will have died in the intervening time. On the other hand, the most distant galaxies that astronomers study are seen as they were up to 13 billion years in the past, so many of their stars will have died by now (especially as we view them when they were young and their light was dominated by more massive, short-lived stars, in comparison with our own Galaxy). However, those distant galaxies will still exist, because there will have been new stars forming in them as the earlier generations of stars died out.
Verdict: The Stars You See Are Almost Certainly Still Shining
The experts unanimously agree: nearly all stars visible to the naked eye are still burning bright. With stellar lifespans measured in billions of years and light travel times of mere thousands, the mathematical odds strongly favor their continued existence. Even when observing distant galaxies through powerful telescopes, many stars endure far longer than the time their light takes to reach us. While it’s theoretically possible that some visible stars have died since emitting the light we now see, this would be exceptionally rare. So rest assured—when you wish upon a star, you’re likely connecting with a celestial body that continues its cosmic journey, not merely observing the ghost of a long-extinguished flame.
Still Curious? Here are some other questions to consider on Consensus.
✨How do low-mass stars contribute to our understanding of the early Universe? ⭐Does starlight accurately represent the current state of stars? 🔭๋࣭Are some of the stars we observe in the sky today part of the first generation of stars? 🌌Can 'red-and-dead' galaxies still form stars at a minimal rate?